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Lessons from the Mess in the U.S.
by Rick Peterson September 23, 2008
(Vancouver)

Watching the massive bailout underway in the US financial markets provides food for thought for us all in British Columbia as we head towards a provincial election in May of 2009.

US taxpayers are being asked to bail out mistakes made by unsuspecting buyers of very bad investment vehicles – most often in the form of mortgages sold to people who shouldn’t have bought them in the first place - created by fee-driven investment banks under the benevolent eye of US regulators and bankers. Without the bail-out, there’s talk of a major U.S. recession.

It’s hard to argue with US Senator Jim Bunning of Kentucky when he says “The free market for all intents and purposes is dead in America…The American taxpayer has been misled throughout this economic crisis. The government on all fronts has failed the American people miserably.”

Could this happen in Canada? Wall Street’s chase for investment banking fees and profits, coupled with lack of US federal government oversight, would probably not happen on the same scale here in Canada. This “toxic” mess was fueled by a backdrop of excessive U.S. borrowing and spending, along with easy credit that fueled a housing boom. Again, we’re not leveraged to that extent here in Canada.

However, Conrad Black wrote an interesting article last weekend in the National Post that also highlighted what he saw as another factor contributing to this nightmare, and this factor is very much playing out here in Canada – and especially in the Greater Vancouver area.

“The United States and other countries have fallen too far into the fool’s paradise of the service economy,” wrote Black in the September 20th Post, lamenting the loss of companies that make things. “Towering downtown skyscrapers are jammed with people who work hard and are very talented, but don’t actually do anything useful.”

“As a society, we came to despise blue collar work as menial, and most of it has migrated to Third World places. The service economy only works when people want and can pay for the services. This progressively ceases to be the case – more swiftly and profoundly than with finished goods – as economies slow down.”

While there’s nothing wrong with a growing service sector, Black is right on the money when he suggests that any government that does not make real economic growth its number one focus will soon have to pay the piper. This is a message we have to heed here in BC, as we see the first signs of a housing market correction, the upcoming end of several large Olympic-related construction projects, and while our forestry sector is on its knees.

It’s time we re-sharpened our focus on economic growth in BC, and clearly made the economy a top priority with some bold policy proposals. There is a lot to do.

We haven’t opened up a new mine in this province in more than a decade, and another two dozen projects are caught in red tape. Despite that we’ve just decided, inexplicably, to extend the moratorium on exploration and development of uranium. That has to change. As Harvey Enchin wrote elsewhere in this paper last weekend, coal-fired and nuclear energy should receive no more and no less attention than hydro, natural gas, wind, solar and run-of-river projects.

There’s more. BC should take the lead in calling for a single securities regulator, for our province is the home of venture capital financing, and the current regulatory patchwork across the country hurts us even more-so today, a time when venture capital financing for resource companies is at a low. The federal government under Finance Minister Jim Flaherty has taken the lead on this issue. He should get stronger support from our province on this push.

British Columbia should continue, aggressively, on the path of tax reduction for both individuals and corporations. We need to harmonize the provincial sales tax with the GST to simplify and our two-tier tax system. We need to control spending, review infrastructure projects, cut red-tape, reduce our debt. These are all top priorities for this province today, tomorrow, and for the future.

Finance Minister Colin Hansen has a budget in the spring. Premier Gordon Campbell will lead his government into an election in May. Both men have a challenge to meet: to make the economy – not the carbon tax, not the environment, and not civil service salaries – the number one priority in the next eight months.

It’s our best chance to avoid getting caught by the effects of the mess in the US.

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Rick Peterson Background:
Rick Peterson is president of Peterson Capital, a Vancouver-based investment firm, and has been actively involved in federal, provincial and municipal politics. Click here to reach Rick with comments, feedback or ideas.

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